Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 311.973541 353.601450 400.014860 455.837225 521.465182 596.549689 689.495011
2025-06-29 248.609348 302.363490 367.761823 454.116676 566.545180 709.923237 909.818550
2025-07-06 206.963222 262.691405 334.222166 434.407995 573.779315 764.927334 1054.375070
2025-07-13 190.610764 251.106216 332.504760 452.707508 630.407509 891.368895 1319.414440
2025-07-20 178.731019 243.104856 333.335720 472.952323 690.960107 1031.902357 1635.048610
2025-07-27 164.396934 229.518155 323.916814 475.790939 724.217623 1134.489518 1910.683025
2025-08-03 148.904054 212.349714 306.886973 463.984981 731.203792 1193.580838 2121.275487
2025-08-10 136.532345 198.490477 293.157487 455.231576 741.160464 1258.267034 2356.389775
2025-08-17 130.648995 193.906768 293.216595 468.868421 791.520980 1404.762640 2794.768581
2025-08-24 122.356911 184.698449 284.777115 466.645424 812.262448 1497.630717 3142.058384
2025-08-31 114.052107 174.729514 274.064692 458.966920 821.214297 1567.797528 3455.959929
2025-09-07 108.264867 168.397486 268.846108 460.536182 848.265917 1680.779466 3909.790503
2025-09-14 100.795093 158.844791 257.524230 449.982590 850.395279 1742.216773 4257.330101
2025-09-21 95.405173 152.455734 251.261634 448.528409 871.693606 1852.909976 4785.899946
2025-09-28 87.968873 141.961813 236.717778 429.089081 850.955464 1858.310223 5002.278845
2025-10-05 86.342971 141.562669 240.567492 447.117134 916.814861 2094.638705 6050.603158
2025-10-12 85.008992 141.556499 245.101361 467.055472 990.554377 2370.677672 7377.241082
2025-10-19 81.678754 137.645304 241.808558 469.850963 1023.400189 2542.317124 8410.906103
2025-10-26 76.979014 130.876721 232.409102 458.224136 1018.368279 2602.963011 9032.506876
2025-11-02 72.977787 125.174866 224.701994 449.602909 1019.882037 2684.387040 9792.022094
2025-11-09 71.560394 124.289487 226.577419 463.033599 1081.953178 2972.934613 11687.792470
2025-11-16 68.677553 120.387029 221.981890 460.844298 1101.147708 3126.727197 13033.244065
2025-11-23 65.487687 115.696022 215.414687 453.281917 1104.142241 3226.415054 14167.283072